Castleton Polling Institute

Recent Posts

WCAX poll gives Scott a 7-point lead

MONTPELIER — A WCAX poll released Monday evening gives Republican gubernatorial nominee Phil Scott a 7-point advantage over his Democratic rival, a significant change from a Vermont Public Radio poll released a week earlier. The WCAX poll, conducted by New Jersey-based Braun Research, Inc., pegged Scott’s support at 47 percent. Democratic gubernatorial nominee Sue Minter received 40 percent. Liberty Union candidate Bill Lee received 4 percent support and 7 percent remain undecided. The VPR poll, released on Oct. Continue Reading →

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VPR Poll: Phil Scott is in the driver’s seat

MONTPELIER — A new Castleton Polling Institute poll commissioned by Vermont Public Radio has provided disheartening numbers for the two Democratic candidates in the gubernatorial race, while Republican Lt. Gov. Phil Scott is soaring. The Vermont primary to select major party gubernatorial candidates will not be held until Aug. 9, but the poll results released Monday show that the two declared Democratic candidates — former Agency of Transportation Secretary Sue Minter and Matt Dunne, a former Windsor county state senator — are at a significant disadvantage in the early going in their quest to succeed Democratic Gov. Peter Shumlin. Among the 895 Vermonters polled, Minter was selected by just 11 percent as their preferred Democratic candidate. Dunne, meanwhile, was the choice of 19 percent. Continue Reading →

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Poll: Legalizing pot, consolidating school districts have majority support

MONTPELIER — Vermonters favor legalizing marijuana, consolidating school districts and creating a state ethics commission, according to poll results released Wednesday by Castleton Polling Institute. Vermonters are also most concerned about the economy, jobs and the cost of living. The poll found that 33 percent of respondents cited those economic issues as most important. Taxes and government spending followed at 13 percent. Health care and opiate addiction, issues pushed heavily by Democratic Gov. Peter Shumlin during his tenure, were cited by 12 percent and 10 percent, respectively, of respondents as the most important issues. Continue Reading →

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Phil Scott tops in name recognition, favorability

MONTPELIER — Republican Lt. Gov. Phil Scott has the highest name recognition and favorability among Vermont voters so far in the race for governor, according to a new poll from the Castleton Polling Institute. According to the poll results, released Monday morning, Scott, who is in his third term as lieutenant governor, is known by 77 percent of Vermonters. Scott Milne, who is not a candidate for governor at this point but was the GOP nominee in 2014, is known by 73 percent of Vermonters. “Obviously, it’s good news for me, but it also highlights the fact that we have our work cut out for us to reach the 23 percent that have no idea who I am,” Scott said. “I have never taken for granted name recognition in the state, and I think that many do. Continue Reading →

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New CPI/VTDigger poll shows Shumlin’s approval rating continues to slide

MONTPELIER — Gov. Peter Shumlin has seen a further erosion of support since the November election, with 47 percent disapproving of his job performance and just 41 percent approving. The new polling data, compiled by Castleton Polling Institute for VTDigger, marks the first time that the third-term Democratic governor’s approval rating has gone underwater since taking office in 2011, meaning more Vermonters disapprove of him than approve. Shumlin won 46.4 percent of the vote in November, barely edging out his Republican challenged in the popular vote. In April 2014 a CPI/VTDigger pole placed Shumlin’s approval rating at 49 percent. The numbers are even worse for the governor when broken down further. Continue Reading →

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